
The International Court of Justice (ICJ) released a significant聽 on July 23, finding that the production and consumption of fossil fuels 鈥渕ay constitute an internationally wrongful act鈥, for which a nation state is responsible.
It is widely 聽as creating the possibility for 鈥渂ig emitters鈥 to be 鈥渟uccessfully sued鈥.
Meanwhile,聽the big emitters and their governments are fighting back.聽Democracy Now! on August 1 that United States President Donald Trump is attempting to revoke the power of the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) to regulate greenhouse gas emissions from cars, power plants and other sources under the Clean Air Act.
These two developments illustrate the competing ways in which capitalist elites and their institutions are responding to the inevitable crises that accompany the climate emergency.
Some are attempting to find legal and institutional avenues to restrain, or manage, runaway carbon pollution. Others are waging a war against climate science and any restrictions, whatsoever, that may be placed on the profiteering of fossil fuel conglomerates.
But the ICJ ruling is important for the climate movement. Notably, it supported the premise of the Pacific Island Students Fighting Climate Change (PISFCC) which pushed for the decision.
As Cynthia Houniuhi of the PISFCC : 鈥淭his is a victory forged by Pacific youth but owned by all.鈥
鈥淲e pushed the world鈥檚 highest court to listen and it did; now we move from legal words to living change. Young people will make sure this ruling cannot be shelved or spun.鈥
Also enthusiastic is Fenton Lutunatabua, from 350.org, who 鈥渁 line has been drawn, and high-emitting states now have the obligation to address their climate responsibilities head on鈥.
Pressure from the student movement pushed Pacific Island governments, led by Vanuatu, to take the case to the United Nations.
Ni-Vanuatu climate change minister Ralph Regenvanu the ICJ鈥檚 decision, telling a Magan-djin/Brisbane on August 2 that 鈥渃limate change remains the single greatest threat to the livelihoods, security and well-being of the peoples of the Pacific鈥.
He described the ICJ decision as a 鈥済reat victory for climate action鈥, highlighting, in particular, the 鈥渓egal obligation of states to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions immediately鈥.
The court found that governments have responsibilities under various climate treaties, such as the Kyoto Accord and the Paris climate agreement. However, beyond these treaties, it found 鈥渟tates have a duty to prevent significant harm to the environment鈥.
This means they must use 鈥渁ll means at their disposal鈥 to prevent 鈥渟ignificant harm鈥 to the climate system.
Law professor Jorge Vi帽uales, who acted for Vanuatu at the ICJ hearings, Carbon Brief that 鈥減erhaps the main take away from the opinion is that the court recognised the principle of liability for climate harm, as actionable under the existing rules鈥.
This means that countries could potentially face liability for loss and damage caused by their climate pollution.
Notwithstanding the groundbreaking features of the ICJ decision, it is important to note that, as an 鈥渁dvisory opinion鈥, . This is in contrast to ICJ鈥檚 decisions in disputes between states, which are binding 鈥斅燼t least theoretically.
Israel's refusal to comply with the ICJ鈥檚 鈥減rovisional measures鈥 in South Africa鈥檚 genocide case against Israel 鈥 a dispute between states 鈥 shows the limits of the court鈥檚 power to enforce its binding decisions.
This means that while the ICJ decision helps grassroots climate campaigners, it is not a means to stop climate pollution.
This year, carbon dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere 430 parts per million for the first time 鈥 the 鈥 ever directly measured鈥 and 鈥渉igher than humans have ever experienced鈥, according to the University of California San Diego.
Instead of treating this as the emergency it is, capitalist governments are heaping more fuel on the fire.
The International Monetary Fund, which tracks , found that global government handouts to polluting industries topped US$7 trillion in 2022聽鈥 a US$2 trillion rise since 2020. It predicted 鈥渟ubsidies are expected to decline in the near-term鈥 but then 鈥渞ise to $8.2 trillion by 2030鈥.聽In contrast,聽聽are a fraction of this.
The priorities of capitalist governments won鈥檛 be changed by any ICJ ruling; the Trump regime鈥檚 attacks on the US EPA are just one part of a concerted counterattack against climate science and climate action.
As Pallavi Sethi, from the , said: 鈥淎s climate disasters intensify, the Trump administration is not just denying science, it is actively censoring it鈥, including erasing scientific data锘, slashing research funding锘 and removing terms锘 like 鈥渃limate change鈥 from federal websites.
Trump is planning for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, which would of Australia鈥檚 as well as other countries鈥 weather forecasts.
聽claims the conservative group Advance plans to launch an 鈥渁ll-out push to stop climate action鈥 and federal Labor鈥檚 already-weak commitment to achieve 鈥渘et zero鈥 by 2050.
Writing about what they call 鈥渆nd times fascism鈥, Naomi Klein and Astra Taylor : 鈥淲e are not up against adversaries we have seen before.鈥
Unlike the far right of the past, they argue the far right today is aware of the 鈥済enuine existential danger聽鈥 from climate breakdown to nuclear war to sky-rocketing inequality and unregulated AI聽鈥 but [they are] financially and ideologically committed to deepening those threats鈥. It means the far right 鈥渓acks any credible vision for a hopeful future鈥.
While this is 鈥渢errifying in its wickedness鈥, Klein and Taylor argue, it also 鈥渙pens up powerful possibilities for resistance鈥.
鈥淲e are convinced that the more people understand the extent to which the right has succumbed to the Armageddon complex, the more they will be willing to fight back, realising that absolutely everything is now on the line.鈥
Klein and Taylor argue that the far right 鈥渒now full well that we are entering an age of emergency鈥, but 鈥渉aving bought into various apartheid fantasies of bunkered safety, they are choosing to let the Earth burn. Our task is to build a wide and deep movement, as spiritual as it is political, strong enough to stop these unhinged traitors.鈥
The ICJ ruling gives climate activists and social change activists a valuable tool for arguments and leverage, but it is not a substitute for building the movement.
[Alex Bainbridge is a climate activist and member of the聽.]